Forex in Russia

Where moves the domestic economy? Will Become definitively Russia raw materials apurtenance of the developed industrial countries, or she has else possibility to occupy in мировом community place, corresponding to her potential?

Myths and reality
The Present situation in Russia causes not simply bad. Are they Already seen sidebars of the economic crisis, in contrast with which дефолт 1998 is shown by light trouble. In condition of the deterioration of the world economic conjuncture (the deceleration of the growing production became the general trend) russian government today inflation in 15%, growing VVP 3.3% (though forecasts were 4.5-5% per annum), investments grow up whole on 2.5%.

The Words about positive trend in industrial-production sector of the economy - a myth. The Reason of the growing to industry, which exists in the last two-three years, in the most deep fall 90-h years, when situation reached the critical limit. And today we observe only reconstruction былого level, which while as well as did not reach.

Aggravates the position and evident disharmony in command of the president: first-nights M. Kasiyanov nods on Minekonomrazvitiya (MERT), it is said, we-that program of the reforms has prepared, but the main economic factors consider in department Grefa. In MERT are justified, but r for put(deliver)ed by government of the task not спешат, understanding that for real factors demand will be with them. And all together forget that problem not in technologies calculation, but in real condition of the economy. The Last debates appeared around rate of growth government persists on 8%, MERT keeps ostensibly real 5%. And both scenarioes more then doubtful. The Problem as well as in that, what fetter to obtain the speed rate of growth. The Authorities on this count do not voice some particularly new idea. All wholly in spirit traditional west recommendation: developing country budgetary incoms and expenses necessary to shorten, real rate of national currency in no event must grow. That is to say dollars on home markets in no event must дешеветь, since otherwise become it is not enough profitable investments in export and production.

Shorten the budgetary expenses and incoms beside us until it is got. If for no reason than state must have a money for payment of the foreign debt. But influx of the dollars on home market why-that at all does not want to run short. That scheduled factors are not executed, became at the end past year clear. There was is officially declared that inflation has formed approximately 15% though 12-14% was planned. In 2001 she exceed 18%. Certainly, the authorities have then and there declared that so much for is a progress. If this success, that government possible to congratulate. So we have a possibility through vapour(pair) of the years to overtake the Africa, where inflation does not exceed 10%. But here is before USA (1.5%) and countries Evrosoyuza (2.1%) us else far..